My optimism about the region's stability and growth are confirmed by the December 2006 report of the Economic Commission for Latin America and Caribbean (ECLAC).
Highlights of the report:
- Growth rate in 2006 was 5.3 %, after 4.5% in 2005 and 5.9% in 2004.. Projection for 2007 is 4.7 %.
- Highest growth Venezuela 10%, Dominican Republic 10%, Argentina 8.5% , Peru 7.2 % and Colombia 6%, Trinidad and Tobago 12%
- Brazil's growth in 2006 was 2.8%, projected 3.5% in 2007
- Mexico growth in 2006 was 4.8% , projection for 2007 is 3.8%
- Gross external debt declined to 633 bn dollars from 656 bn in 2005 and 761 bn in 2004. Brazil's debt was down to 156 bn$ from a high of 226 bn in 1999. Argentinian debt was down to 107 bn $ from 171 bn in 2005. Mexican debt was 130bn$ in 2006 down from 166bn in 1999.
- in 2006 Brazil, Argentina and Uruguay repaid their entire debt to IMF ahead of schedule. The level of debt for the region has come down to just 24% of GDP from 42.4% in 2002.
- Foreign exchange reserves increased by 16 % to 295 billion dollars.
- Total exports increased by 21% to 677 billion dollars, while imports increased by 20% to 574 billion dollars. Trade surplus was 103 billion dollars.
- The region produced a surplus on the balance of payments current account for the fourth consecutive year, an unprecedented performance.
- FDI in the region in 2006 was 34 billion dollars, down from 49 billion in 2005. Mexico got 17 billion followed by Brazil 7 bn, Chile 6.6 bn, Colombia 4 bn, peru 3.5 bn and Ecuador 3 bn.
- Inflation was down to 4.8% in 2006 from 6.1% in 2005. Average inflation in the last ten years is 8.45 %. Highest inflation was in venezuela 15.8% followed by Haiti 11.8%, Argentina 10% and Trinidad and tobago 10%. All other countries had single digit inflation.
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